The edge you get comes from the fact that you (a) bet more, and (b) are more likely to double and split, meaning that each of your wins will count more. At TC +5, you win 44%, lose 48%, and push 8%. The actual win percentage doesn't change much with the count: at TC -5, you win 42%, lose 50%, and push 8%. That's GOOD for the player, since the player gets paid 3:2 on blackjacks. That all being said, when the count is high, you're absolutely right that the dealer will get blackjack more often than when the count is low. Unfortunately, if the count is neutral you had a small bet out, so you won only a little. Likewise, if the count is neutral and takes a nosedive into negative territory, you should expect to win a lot of those - because a lot of tens and aces came out. If the count is high and holds steady or goes up, then you SHOULD be losing those, because the high cards you were expecting haven't come out yet! The reason why you win more when the count is high is because you're hoping the count will come down - i.e. The count being high, BY ITSELF, doesn't give you an advantage. Click to expand.Here's where you need to be a little more precise in order to fully see what's happening.
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